Caries risk assessment estimates the likelihood of new or progressing lesions by combining current disease indicators, biological and behavioural risk factors, and protective factors. It should lead to a documented, personalised prevention and review plan—not remain a form completed without action.
Contents
What should be assessed?
Recent cavitated or active non-cavitated lesions, restorations placed because of caries, visible plaque, frequent fermentable carbohydrate exposure, fluoride exposure, saliva-related conditions, exposed roots, appliances and social or medical barriers all inform risk. Previous disease is a particularly important predictor, but professional judgement must consider the complete pattern.
A practical clinical workflow
- Detect and assess lesion activity using clean, dry teeth and appropriate radiographs.
- Identify disease indicators, risk factors and protective factors.
- Assign a provisional risk category and explain the main drivers to the patient.
- Agree achievable changes in fluoride use, diet, plaque control and professional prevention.
- Manage existing lesions according to activity, cleansability, depth and restorability.
- Set recall and radiographic review according to risk, then reassess rather than carrying the category forward indefinitely.
Risk-to-action table
| Finding | Meaning | Possible action |
|---|---|---|
| New or active lesions | Current disease activity | Intensify prevention and manage lesions |
| Frequent sugar exposure | Repeated acid challenge | Set a specific frequency-reduction goal |
| Low fluoride exposure | Reduced remineralisation support | Optimise age- and risk-appropriate fluoride |
| Dry mouth or cariogenic medication | Impaired salivary protection | Address cause, hydration and enhanced prevention |
| Stable surfaces with strong protective factors | Controlled risk | Maintain care and lengthen review only when justified |
Measure whether the plan is working
At review, compare lesion activity, plaque, behaviours, fluoride use and any new restorations with the baseline. A risk category can rise or fall. Avoid using a checklist as a diagnostic test with perfect accuracy; risk assessment supports shared decisions and should be updated when circumstances change.
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